The CEREA joint laboratory in France has released models of radiation dispersal as of April 6, 2011. They offer a comparison model of Chernobyl but make the note that they do not have accurate source term (radiation released) from Fukushima yet. The model for Fukushima may now, with time show a higher contamination as we know radiation has been spewing for over five months. The CEREA model also shows more radiation over the western US than over some areas of Japan. Updated information would be useful to see if that has changed in relation to those areas of Japan.
SENES consultants in Canada have a 10 day fallout forecasting system. The forecasts show dispersal modeling but note that the iodine 131 level may change based on conditions at Fukushima but that the cesium modeling is somewhat consistent. The SENES forcasts currently show Alaska and western Canada taking the brunt of the contamination. The upper Midwest is still receiving considerable contamination. Meanwhile the EPA stopped monitoring radiation months ago. A new set of quarterly testing is due out in August but results have not been seen.
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