Tropical Storm Roke May Cross Fukushima Daiichi
A weather update by group member Thunder below. We have a group of weather tracking tools on our weather resources page.
I am unsure on TS Roke, forecasts continue to be very shifty even in the short term, models do agree on a Japanese crossing for the system in the next 72-96 hours, JTWC warning track continues to shift accordingly with the model and conditional changes, Roke has been a weird system indeed stalling over Okinawa and dancing around in circles, I think he has given forecasters a nightmare! The problem I see though that while the crossing position continues to change of late all tracks lead across the pile of steaming nuclear rubble know as Fuku npp! Model guidance predicts 200mm+ for Fukushima prefecture(of course it’s only a model- but it’s been right before) microwave images I have looked at for the system indicate a potential of upwards of 350-500mm+ near it’s centre and closest rainbands, this will all depend where the system makes landfall and what strength it maintains as to where it rains, judging by current forecast tracks it should dump the heaviest precipitation on the southern coastline and adjacent ranges west of Tokyo upon crossing,
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