We have some new information and many new questions that have arose out of our crowd sourced research today. Concerns initially focused on the Maria medical reactor in Poland and the Rosatom medical reactor in Russia. They are not completely ruled out but radiation mapping along with weather are making them sound less likely. Another potential candidate is the research reactor at Moscow university. It does not specifically state a medical isotope program there but there is the potential for a leak or undocumented experiments, so this one is a distant contender.
One potential source is the Krsko nuclear power plant in Slovenia. In looking at the available data for EURDEP and the reports from other countries this appears to be a location of higher levels of Iodine 131 and also Cesium 137 found at monitoring stations near the plant. The iodine 131 levels near the plant are also relatively high and create a path of traces of radiation going north from the plant area. Cobalt 60 was also detected near the plant.
Krsko had an outage in March 2011 but restarted by the end of the month. In 2008 a leak at the plant caused a major incident in Europe when a radiation emergency warning was issued by accident causing a political issue with neighboring Austria. There have also been ongoing problems with the decommissioning fund for the plant including mismanagement and accusations of fraud.
The Zaporizhia NPP in Ukraine shut down due to a malfunction recently, causing some to speculate it could be the cause. It is about 50 KM south of the Rosatom medical reactor. The Russian radiation network monitoring system isn’t showing any spikes at their stations.
It was also found that an area over the Ukraine, Serbia, Hungary and Bulgaria have been blocked from air traffic for the 13th and 14th for aerial photography. This area also lacks the detailed network of radiation detectors other countries have. There is speculation that this aerial photography is either radiation monitoring flights or blocking off a known contaminated area.
Apparently the IAEA has taken the weekend off. No updates have been given since their report on Friday that low levels of Iodine 131 are showing up in Europe. The IAEA told the public only iodine 131 was showing up and that this was not a nuclear power plant. The two known medical reactors in the region are looking less likely but not totally ruled out and EURDEP is showing more than just Iodine 131 in Slovenia.
Our investigations may have created more questions than they answered, the IAEA owes the public an honest and immediate answer about what is going on. We will continue to research the situation. If you have information to share please leave it in the comments or you can join the conversation over at Scribble
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