Typhoon Guchol Update Monday June 18

SimplyInfo member Thunder is back with an update on Typhoon Guchol:

Typhoon GUCHOL is currently forecast to cross the southern Japanese coastline around 0600UTC/19th of June, most probable impact point will be Shikoku however Kyushu and Tokai are both still at great risk of damaging winds, storm surge and flooding rain. Forecast winds at crossing in excess of 90 knots about exposed coastal areas and up to 70 knots further inland but much of the damaging wind should remain on the south eastern side of the system due to lack of a significant pressure gradient squeeze to the north. Fukushima prefecture should miss the worst of it with the system taking a more western track across Japan before reemerging in the sea of Japan in a significantly weakened state. Forecast rainfall in excess of 300mm across much of southern Japan extending along the eastern coastline also, Fukushima may still receive significant rainfall depending on what characteristics the system takes after crossing.
A second system, TALIM, currently lies south west of the Taiwanese mainland and is forecast to take a northeastern track and cross or pass close by the Japanese mainland in 4 days time, this system is still in doubt and should it make it all it will be a weak disorganized system at best.

Due to the acceleration of the northward movement this will be the last time I am around, I will be working at the time of crossing so I will leave you all with some links:
Navy/NRL TC(JTWC)- http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/TC.html
Warnings JMA-http://www.jma.go.jp/en/warn/index.html
Wind- http://agora.ex.nii.ac.jp/digital-typhoon/ameras/wind-maps/
Rain Fall- http://agora.ex.nii.ac.jp/digital-typhoon/ameras/google-maps/

Always check the local authorities for the latest valid warnings and if in an affected area follow the directions of authorities, this is an analysis of events and should not be taken as an official warning or a replacement for one.

Editors note: If you are currently in Japan, follow Yokosonews on twitter. Katz usually provides updates on things like train stoppage or local alerts during severe weather.

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